📈 3-Scenario Results
Assumptions: Bull 30%/yr (Starship V3 normalized) · Base 12%/yr (steady growth) · Bear -8%/yr (delays, regulation).
📅 Year-by-Year Values
| Year |
🐂 Bull |
📊 Base |
🐻 Bear |
S&P 500 |
Note: S&P 500 benchmark assumes 9.5% avg annual return (1998-2025), dividend reinvested. SpaceX scenarios apply ±20% first-6-month IPO volatility to year 1.
⚖️ S&P 500 Alpha (Base scenario)
SpaceX final value$0
S&P 500 final value$0
Excess return (Alpha)$0
Sharpe-like ratio0
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